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June
2004
This conference assessed our understanding of the effects
and effectiveness of fiscal policy, drawing on postwar
policy experience and recent economic research. Is fiscal
policy an appropriate tool for short-run, macroeconomic
stabilization? Has public policy helped to give rise
to economic behaviors, such as “over-consumption,”
that tend to produce persistent budget and trade deficits?
What are the longer-run consequences of these deficits?
And how should policymakers respond?
The collected papers presented at this conference were published in The Macroeconomics of Fiscal Policy (MIT Press, February 2006).
Introduction: The Macroeconomics of Fiscal Policy 
Order The Macroeconomics of Fiscal Policy from MIT Press

Biographies of Conference Participants
Conference Agenda
Monday, June 14
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Reception |
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| 7:30 p.m. |
Dinner |
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Welcome
Cathy E. Minehan
President and Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston |
Tuesday, June 15
| 7:15
a.m. |
Breakfast |
| |
|
| 8:00 a.m. |
Introductory
Remarks
Cathy E. Minehan |
| |
|
| 8:15 a.m. |
Session
One
Can Fiscal Policy Improve
Macro Stabilization?
What can we learn from the literature and postwar
historical experience: Are there fiscal policies
that are effective and successful in the short run?
How has the answer to this question changed over
time? Why? What evidence supports the conclusion,
either across time or countries? Does the answer
depend on the particular fiscal instruments used? |
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| Presenter:
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Alan S. Blinder
Gordon S. Rentschler Memorial Professor of
Economics
Princeton University |
| |
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| Discussants:
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Olivier J.
Blanchard
Class of 1941 Professor
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Chris Sims
Professor of Economics
Princeton University |
| |
|
| 9:30 a.m. |
Session
Two
American Fiscal Policy
in the Post-war Era:
An Interpretive History
How have key objectives of public policy
-- public-good provision, income redistribution,
social insurance, and macroeconomic stabilization
-- influenced the way in which the public sector
has evolved since the end of World War II? What
does postwar history teach about how the public
should interpret fiscal policy changes: Are tax
reforms permanent or temporary? Are increases
in the structural federal deficit balanced by
future tax changes? |
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| Presenter:
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Alan J. Auerbach
Robert D. Burch Professor of Tax Policy and Public
Finance
University of California, Berkeley |
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| Discussant: |
James
S. Duesenberry
Professor Emeritus
Harvard University
Douglas Elmendorf
Section Chief, Macroeconomic Analysis
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |
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|
| 10:45 a.m. |
Break |
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| 11:00 a.m. |
Session
Three
Panel Discussion: Fiscal
Policy in the Reagan Administration’s First
Term
The Reagan Administration’s Economic
Recovery Tax Act (ERTA) of 1981 dramatically cut
tax rates at a time of economic weakness. Did
the tax cuts help to stabilize the economy? What
was the relationship between fiscal and monetary
policy during this period? How did the tax cuts
affect the supply side of the economy? What has
been the long-run legacy of fiscal policy from
this era? |
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| Panelists: |
C. Eugene
Steuerle
Senior Fellow
The Urban Institute
W. Elliot Brownlee
Department of History
University of California, Santa Barbara
Van Doorn Ooms
Senior Fellow
The Committee for Economic Development
Rudolph G. Penner
Senior Fellow
The Urban Institute |
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|
| 12:30
p.m. |
Lunch |
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|
6:30
p.m.
(note time change from 7:00 p.m.) |
Address
Lawrence H. Summers
President
Harvard University
Reception and Dinner |
Wednesday, June 16
| 7:15
a.m. |
Breakfast |
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|
| 8:30
a.m. |
Session
Four
Government Finance in the
Short and Long Run
Are there limits to what deficit financing
can accomplish in the near-term? What happens
when deficits become “too large”?
Does government financing significantly crowd
out private financing at full employment with
global financial markets? Does the structure of
the tax system matter more than the size of the
deficit in determining the economy’s growth
rate? How should the financing burden of current
spending be spread across generations, and does
that depend on the nature of the spending? |
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| Presenter: |
Benjamin M. Friedman
William Joseph Maier Professor of Political Economy
Harvard University |
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| Discussants: |
Susanto
Basu
Visiting Scholar
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Barry P. Bosworth
Senior Fellow, Economic Studies
The Brookings Institution |
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|
| 9:45
a.m. |
Session
Five
Is the U.S. Prone to
“Over-Consumption”?
The federal budget deficit and the
trade deficit now both exceed 4 percent of GDP,
and the personal saving rate is currently below
4 percent -- low by historic as well as by international
standards. Is the current low rate of saving a
problem? How has public policy affected the domestic
rate of saving? Is policy serving the public will?
If the low savings rate is a problem, what changes
might stimulate increased saving? |
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| Presenter: |
Jean-Phillippe
Cotis
Chief Economist
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development |
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| Discussant: |
Willem H.
Buiter
Chief Economist and Special Counsellor to the
President
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
Eric Engen
Resident Scholar
American Enterprise Institute |
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|
| 11:00
a.m. |
Break |
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|
| 11:15
a.m. |
Session
Six
Panel Discussion: The Twin
Deficits – U.S. and International Perspectives
Currently, and over much of the
past two decades, the U.S. has simultaneously
run a large federal budget deficit and experienced
a substantial current account deficit. This session
will discuss the degree to which the two deficits
are related, their sustainability over medium
and long horizons, and their impact on economic
growth and living standards. What policy actions,
if any, are currently desirable in light of this? |
| |
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| Panelists: |
Edwin M.
Truman
Senior Fellow
Institute for International Economics
Jeffrey A. Frankel
James W. Harpel Professor of Capital Formation
and Growth
Kennedy School of Government
Catherine L. Mann
Senior Fellow
Institute for International Economics
Alice M. Rivlin
Senior Fellow, Economic Studies
The Brookings Institution |
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|
| 1:00
p.m. |
Adjournment
and lunch |
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|
| 2:00
p.m. |
Motor coach |
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